A regular briefing for the alternative asset management industry.
It remains hard to predict what the results in the recent European Parliamentary elections will mean for sustainability initiatives in the EU, but the lurch to the right won’t help an incoming European Commission to continue to blaze the trail on environmental and social issues. A pause in new sustainability regulation already seemed inevitable, even before the results were in, but only time will tell whether there will be a rollback in certain areas. It's important to remember that – despite their significant and well-publicised gains – so called populist and hard right politicians still only control a minority of the seats in the European Parliament, and changes to existing EU rules are not quick and easy.
Meanwhile, the UK may be about to buck an international trend. On 4 July, Britain will elect a new government, and the opinion polls look very bad for the ruling Conservative Party. A victory for Labour seems highly likely. While much of Europe appears to be moving to the right – possibly including France this weekend – the UK is shifting to the left.
So, assuming there is a change of government next week, can the UK expect a change of direction on sustainability initiatives?
The short answer is no – the two major parties largely agree on the UK's sustainability strategy, at least if one goes by their public statements in recent years. However, what might change is the urgency with which key initiatives are pursued.
Many firms and industry associations have been frustrated by the current UK government's stop-start approach to some key sustainability measures in recent years. For example, a letter to the Prime Minister in August last year – written by the UK Sustainable Investment and Finance Association, and signed by 36 financial institutions – expressed concerns at the government’s "recent public statements and policy signals, which risk undermining the UK’s leadership in the clarity, certainty, and confidence of policymaking toward meeting the UK's commitment to net zero".
To be fair, a lot has been achieved in the UK in recent years. In June 2019, the government legislated for a 2050 net zero emissions target. In 2021, it set two additional interim targets to decarbonise the power system and reduce emissions by 78% by 2035. Although many other countries have set net zero targets, they are not all legally binding – and a 2021 net zero strategy set out some important policy initiatives to deliver on the UK's ambition. Other environmental initiatives also hold promise – for example, the requirement for certain new developments to demonstrate net biodiversity gains is genuinely radical.
But – possibly because of a mini-backlash in some quarters of the electorate – other concrete measures have been slower to emerge, including some that were first announced several years ago. The UK's SDR and labelling regime for the financial sector – Britain's answer to the EU's SFDR – will come into force in stages, but is several years later than its EU counterpart. Perhaps the UK has used that time wisely, to devise a regime that will stand the test of time better than SFDR – which is already under review.
There are less convincing excuses for the slow progress of the UK version of the EU's Taxonomy – to which the UK first committed before it left the EU, but on which progress has been glacial. An expert group appointed by the government to help develop the Taxonomy issued a "closing statement" in October 2023, looking forward to a consultation on the Taxonomy in Autumn 2023 – but, in June 2024, we are still waiting. In February this year, the UK Parliament's Environmental Audit Committee complained about the government's "continued dither and delay" on this and other initiatives, listing a number of missed deadlines.
So, if Labour is elected next week, what will change?
The Labour Party's manifesto commitments are relatively light on environmental matters, although the manifesto does reiterate two important initiatives that are already part of UK government policy. An incoming Labour government would mandate UK-regulated financial institutions – including banks, asset managers, pension funds, and insurers – and FTSE 100 companies to develop and implement credible transition plans that align with the Paris Agreement. It would also introduce a UK carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM), which would no doubt resemble the EU's recently introduced scheme and build on the outcome of a government consultation that concluded last year.