The market has remained buoyant notwithstanding this seismic change. Market research in the sector indicates that, as a result of an ever-aging population, a nationwide housing shortage, and unprecedented demand on NHS services and beds, demand for senior living space – whether in the form of retirement / sheltered housing, integrated retirement communities or care homes – continues to outstrip supply, creating opportunities for developers and investors. The path to ground rent abolition had also been laid several years prior, so to some extent the sector had (notwithstanding its surprise inclusion) anticipated the change.
Largely speaking, the sector has been pro-active in restructuring its lease models to re-categorise its income streams. The up-front costs of providing enhanced communal spaces may now be recouped through the use of deferred fees, increased management fees, or charging a higher premium for the lease up front. In the planning stages, some investors considered charging an additional premium for the use of communal spaces specifically, though we have not yet seen this used in practice. Certain developers have implemented shared ownership as a model to allow residents to own a portion of their home but pay rent in relation to the balance. Licence arrangements have also been considered as an alternative to leasehold ownership but generally speaking go against the grain of the legislation which is aimed at providing better security for residential tenants. Rights for operators to buy back leases from residents or their families and sell them on (an option better suited to the integrated retirement community or assisted living sectors than to care homes) have also been explored.
The use of deferred fees or "event fees" in particular has received support from leading industry bodies such as ARCO (Associated Retirement Community Operators), following previous scrutiny by the CMA and Law Commission in their 2017 reviews. As we explored in our previous briefing, it is recognised as something which improves the affordability of retirement leases for tenants, makes them sustainable to run, and supports a high level of service provision maintaining quality within the sector (see ARCO's guide on event fees). It is also something the Law Commission, and ultimately the Government, acknowledged the benefits of (see conclusions of Law Commission's review and Government response), though changes in consumer legislation to regulate them and adherence to codes of practice regarding their use are anticipated in future.
The potentially negative impact of increasing premiums to cover off the developer's capital costs has also been well managed. The industry has experience of assisting tenants with the economics of acquiring their lease by providing them with options as to whether to pay more or less up-front costs coupled with ongoing fees. In the context of the abolition of ground rent and the resulting increase in premium (perhaps also coupled with event fees), this has meant providing the option of paying more up front with lower ongoing charges / deferred fees, or paying a lower initial premium with more ongoing charges / a higher deferred fee.
The sector has not experienced significant impact on lending. The Council of Mortgage Lenders, which supported action for leasehold reform, had already set parameters for its members around lending on leases with ground rents. This saw leases accepted as security where ground rent was set to predictable levels (for example, increasing in line with RPI). Major high street lenders already refused more 'onerous' lease terms whereby ground rents escalate at unmarketable rates.
That said, we are still six months shy of the legislation coming into force and the long-term impacts of removing ground rents from senior living lease structures is not yet clear. For schemes which are already generating income, the sector has not had to make any changes as the legislation does not have retrospective effect. For pipeline schemes or those at the pre-planning stage, scheme viability will come into sharp focus; the removal of ground rents means developers are now working with tighter margins, both in terms of re-sale and the longer-term holding of assets. Without the increased costs being passed on to consumers in order to recover margins (which market research will dictate), developers will need to look at other ways to make cost savings, or else alter the consumer profile of their end users and the areas in which they are proposing to build. The inability to sell off the residual income received from ground rent to third party investors also limits the developer's return on investment, and may also de-value the freehold reversion itself, given it can no longer be passively traded in. It remains to be seen if developers will respond by reducing the footprint of their communal spaces to reduce costs (space being something it is coming under pressure to reduce and / or reconfigure elsewhere (see our recent article on bio-diversity net gain requirements, which are limiting development space) and if this will have an impact upon the desirability of the scheme.