This Q&A looks at how the EEA Agreement might work as a model for the UK's post-Brexit relationship with the EU.
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This Q&A looks at how the EEA Agreement might work as a model for the UK's post-Brexit relationship with the EU.
The EEA is an internal market covering the EU Member States and EEA-EFTA States (Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway - see Q3 below) focusing on the free movement of goods, services, capital and people. The EEA Agreement is narrower in scope than the EU Treaties (see Q4) and is arguably more focussed on economic rather than political objectives; in particular, unlike the EU Treaties, it does not contain the objective of an "ever closer union" between its members. In discussions of Brexit, the EEA Agreement is sometimes referred to as "the Norway option" or, more recently, by a cross party group of MPs as "Common Market 2.0" (see Q2).
From a business perspective, EEA membership would enable the UK to continue to participate in the Single Market. Trade in most goods would continue to be tariff free, although the UK would be outside the Customs Union, which could increase border red tape (see Brexit: Customs Arrangements). The UK would, however, be free to conclude its own trade agreements (subject to certain constraints – see Q7). "Norway plus" is commonly used to refer to the EEA option in combination with a UK-EU customs union. The Common Market 2.0 proposal also envisages a customs union with the EU.
The UK would also lose the formal voting rights over EU legislation which it currently possesses as an EU Member State; this would probably make it more difficult to influence the development of Single Market rules (see Q6).
As noted at Q1 above, the EEA model would involve the UK remaining a participant in the Single Market. At the time of writing, however, the UK government's stated position was that it intends to leave the Single Market. On the face of it, this would suggest that the EEA model should be wholly discounted. However, there are a number of ways in which it could still be relevant to the Brexit negotiations:
More recently, the EEA option has come to the fore because it is being promoted as a possible compromise Brexit outcome by a cross-party group of MPs under the banner "Common Market 2.0".
That said, for reasons explained at Q16, it may be difficult for the UK to make a quick and "seamless" transition from EU membership to becoming a fully fledged EEA-EFTA State, alongside Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway. However, a potential solution to this problem would be for the UK to ask the EU for a "mirror" EEA Agreement i.e. a separate agreement on the same terms as the EEA Agreement (see Q17). In view of this possibility, it seems to us that the EEA model should not be ruled out as "too difficult" – although clearly, there will need to be political willingness from all relevant parties to make this work.
The EEA as a territory covers Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway (the "EEA-EFTA States") together with all the EU Member States.
Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway are also members of the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), membership of which is a pre-condition of joining the EEA (see Q16). The fourth EFTA member is Switzerland, but it does not participate in the EEA. In this Q&A, "EEA-EFTA States" refers to Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway (not Switzerland).
The following areas which are covered by the EU Treaties are not covered by the EEA Agreement; EEA-EFTA States are thus free to pursue their own independent policies in these fields of activity:
More generally, as noted at Q1 above, the EEA Agreement does not include the objective of an "ever closer union" between its members and is arguably more focussed on economic rather than political objectives. Two further differences (compared with EU membership) which are of particular relevance to businesses are as follows:
That said, as an EEA-EFTA State, the UK would (as a general rule) continue to be subject to most of the key EU legislation on employment, competition law, state aid, public procurement, pensions, company law, financial services, data protection, intellectual property and consumer protection.
EEA-EFTA States are still required to make contributions towards the EU/EEA budget, although these are not as high as those required from full EU Member States. If the UK were to contribute on the same per capita basis as Norway, it is estimated that the UK's contributions could fall by 25% per person (House of Commons Library Briefing Paper, 28 July 2016, page 32). However, estimates differ and some commentators have suggested that if the UK were to lose its rebate, it could end up paying almost as much as it does now.
On the other hand, the higher the UK's contribution, the less money the EU will need to seek from remaining Member States after Brexit to balance its budget; as such, a higher level of contribution could make the EU more willing to make concessions to the UK on other aspects of the Brexit negotiations (such as the size of the "divorce bill").
EEA-EFTA States have no formal voting rights over EU legislation and no formal representation in key EU decision-making institutions (notably the EU Council of Ministers and the European Parliament); they only have the opportunity to influence the shape of a legislative proposal from the European Commission during the early consultation and drafting stages. Compared with the current position, many commentators consider that this would substantially reduce the UK's ability to shape such legislation, particularly once the European Commission's proposal has been finalised – and particularly in relation to fields where the UK has historically played an influential role, such as financial services.
In practice, countries such as Norway have attempted to address this "influence deficit" by maintaining a significant diplomatic presence in Brussels. Some of the deficit could arguably be made up by the UK taking up the opportunity to represent itself on international standard setting bodies, where it is currently represented by the European Commission acting on behalf of the EU as a whole (the ability to influence international standards is significant because they are often incorporated into Single Market legislation on standards for goods etc). However, such measures would in our view be unlikely to compensate fully for the loss of influence over the EU's own legislative process that comes from being a full EU Member State.
That said, taking a broader perspective, it is arguable that the probable loss of influence over EU legislation relevant to the EEA Agreement should be weighed against the greater freedom of action which the UK would stand to gain in relation to matters which are not covered by the EEA Agreeement, such as trade, agriculture, fisheries and so on. A number of think tanks have also suggested that in the longer term, it may be possible for EEA-EFTA States to secure a stronger role in the legislative process for Single Market legislation (see Q2).
Finally, if it is accepted that the UK is going to leave the EU, the appropriate comparator is not EU membership but other models for UK-EU relations. For example, even where the UK made a complete break with the EU, this apparent return of sovereignty would arguably be illusory in many areas, because businesses would want the government to align itself with EU rules (over which the UK would probably have less influence than it would as an EEA-EFTA State).
Unlike EU Member States (where competence over trade policy is given to the European Commission), EEA-EFTA States are free to conclude their own trade agreements with other countries. Some of these are negotiated collectively through EFTA, which currently has 27 free trade agreements covering 38 countries. But EEA-EFTA States are also free to negotiate bilateral agreements without going through EFTA; for example, Iceland has negotiated a free trade agreement with China which took effect on 1 July 2014.
This freedom would have some advantages for the UK. Although it would lose bargaining power as compared with its current position as a member of the world's largest trading bloc (the EU), it would be able to tailor its negotiating position to the interests of UK businesses and consumers. That said, continued participation in the Single Market would impose certain constraints on the UK's freedom to conclude free trade agreements. For example, in relation to services, the UK might ideally wish to offer generous access to third countries, in the hope of securing better access for its own service providers. However, there would always be the risk that the EU would impose new Single Market rules in that area, which (as an EEA-EFTA State) the UK would be obliged to accept. This in turn would make it difficult for the UK to offer a firm commitment that it would not impose any new restrictions in relation to services of that particular type.
If the UK entered into a customs union will the EU alongside EEA membership, as envisaged by the "Norway plus" or "Common Market 2.0" options, then its ability to conduct an independent trade policy would be much more heavily constrained.
Not entirely. Trade in most goods – with the notable exception of agricultural products and fish – is tariff-free, but the EEA-EFTA States are outside the Customs Union, which means that a certain amount of border red tape is inevitable. In particular, in order to benefit from tariff-free treatment on entry into the EU, businesses in EEA-EFTA States must be able to prove that their goods originated in the EEA – and that they are not, for example, cheap Chinese imports which have been "rebadged" to look as if they come from say, Norway. Such "rules of origin" necessitate additional paperwork to accompany the goods when they pass through customs posts in the EU. For more detail, see Brexit: Customs Arrangements.
In addition, although most EEA-produced goods benefit from zero tariffs, this does not apply to all food and drink products (see Protocols 3 and 9 of the EEA Agreement). For example, Norwegian salmon sold as whole fish face a tariff of 2% (which is low enough not to make that much difference), but Norwegian smoked salmon faces a much more significant tariff of 13%. As a result, the bulk of Norwegian salmon (whole fish) is shipped to an EU country (usually Poland) for smoking; following that processing, it can be treated as goods of EU origin and sold tariff free (within the EU).
However, if the UK entered into a customs union with the EU alongside EEA membership, as envisaged by the "Norway plus" or "Common Market 2.0" options, it is likely that current arrangements allowing for tariff free and largely frictionless trade could be preserved in relation to the majority of goods.
Free movement of people is a key principle of the EEA Agreement, just as it is a key principle of the EU Treaties. However, Article 112 of the EEA Agreement contains "safeguard" provisions which potentially allow EEA-EFTA States to impose restrictions on free movement of people (among other things) where there are "serious economic, societal or environmental difficulties of a sectorial or regional nature liable to persist." There is no equivalent of Article 112 for EU Member States under the EU Treaties. Significantly, Article 112 allows an EEA-EFTA State to act unilaterally without seeking prior consent from other parties to the EEA Agreement, including the EU. As such, the protection would appear to be stronger than the "emergency brake" negotiated by the UK government prior to the referendum (which required the UK to seek approval from the European Commission before any restrictions could be implemented).
Using Article 112, Liechtenstein has been able to maintain the imposition of quotas on immigrants which were originally agreed on its accession to the EEA Agreement (and were envisaged as temporary). Although Liechtenstein is a much smaller country than the UK, it appears that the same measures were provisionally agreed in relation to Switzerland when the latter was seeking to join the EEA Agreement (but these plans were abandoned when a Swiss referendum resulted in a "no" vote for EEA membership (see page 6 of this paper). Notwithstanding the disparity in size between the UK and Liechtenstein, there are also some striking parallels when it comes to immigration:
The grounds for the UK invoking Article 112 might be similar to those accepted by the European Commission in relation to the "emergency brake" negotiated by the UK in the run-up to EU referendum. In particular, the Commission accepted that the UK would be justified in invoking the emergency brake because it has experienced an "exceptional inflow of workers from elsewhere in the European Union" and "has not made full use of the transitional periods on free movement of workers which were provided for in recent Accession Acts." It considered this to be "the type of exceptional situation that the proposed safeguard mechanism is intended to cover."
If the UK sought to make use of Article 112, it is likely that it would want to go further than the measures envisaged under the emergency brake, which only related to in-work benefits. However, the referendum vote and its aftermath could be used to support an argument that the "exceptional inflow of workers" is causing serious "societal difficulties" (e.g. a substantial rise in reported hate crime relating to immigrants generally and pressure on local services in areas which have received high numbers of immigrants) - and that consequently further measures to restrict free movement are justified, at least for a temporary period. It is also worth noting that Liechtenstein's measures were always intended to be temporary, but in practice it has been allowed to maintain controls ever since it joined the EEA in 1994.
That said, it is unclear whether such a stance would be acceptable to the other EEA-EFTA States and/or the EU, particularly given the latter's emphasis on the principle of free movement of people as being "indivisible" from the other key principles of Single Market membership. In practice, the best option for the UK would be to seek prior agreement with the EU and the other EEA-EFTA States on any measures designed to restrict free movement.
The EEA has its own institutions which (broadly) parallel those of the EU, although as noted below there are some differences. In particular, several EEA institutions, notably those involved with deciding which legislation is incorporated into the EEA Agreement, are operated jointly with the EU, to facilitate coordination with the latter. The key EEA institutions are as follows:
Once relevant EU legislation has been passed, the EEA-EFTA States must then agree to incorporate the relevant EU act into the EEA agreement. There are 2 key points to note here:
In practice, this means that some businesses in EEA-EFTA Member States may find themselves at a commercial disadvantage vis-à-vis their competitors in EU Member States. On the other hand, there may occasionally be advantages in having a time lag, particularly where the main effect of a measure is not so much to facilitate market access but to impose stricter or more burdensome rules on business (in which case the time lag will allow for a longer "grace period" before full compliance is required). That said, the "slow implementation problem" could be avoided altogether if the UK pursued the option of a "mirror" or "parallel" EEA, as outlined at Q17.
There are a number of differences between the EFTA Court and the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU) which may be significant in the context of Brexit:
The EEA Agreement states that the EFTA Court and EEA-EFTA States must be uniform in their approach with any case law before the date of the EEA Agreement i.e. 1 January 1994 (see Article 6 of the EEA Agreement); after that date, the EFTA Court is only under an obligation to take due account of decisions made by the CJEU (see Article 6 of the EEA Agreement and Article 3(2) of the ESA/EFTA Court Agreement). It follows that, strictly speaking, CJEU case law after 1 January 1994 is not binding on the EFTA Court or EEA-EFTA States.
However, in practice, the EFTA Court has effectively treated CJEU decisions post-dating the EEA Agreement as if they were binding. It has even gone as far as reversing EFTA Court case law when the CJEU interpretation in a later ruling was different (e.g. see L'Oreal E-9/07 and E-10/07 [2008] EFTA Ct. Rep. 258). For its part, the CJEU has also taken EFTA Court rulings into account, even though there is no formal agreement or requirement for this. Both courts recognise the need to interpret EU law in a uniform manner to preserve the integrity of the EEA as an internal market. In case of conflict, the EEA Agreement provides for the following:
The right of EEA-EFTA States to intervene in cases before the CJEU is limited to non-institutional cases i.e. they cannot intervene in cases where one of the parties is an EU institution (e.g. the European Commission). The thinking behind this limitation is unclear, since many such actions concern infringement proceedings brought by the European Commission and turn on the interpretation of Single Market legislation - matters in which EEA-EFTA States clearly have an interest, just as EU Member States do. This limitation does not apply in reverse i.e. EU Member States may intervene in any case before the EFTA Court, even those where an institution established under the EEA Agreement is a party (see Protocol 3, Article 40 of the EU Treaty).
Most commentators take the view that upon leaving the EU, the UK will also cease to be a party to the EEA Agreement and would therefore have to apply to rejoin (see Q16).
However, others argue that leaving the EU does not necessarily mean leaving the EEA – and that unless and until the UK gives notice to terminate its participation in the EEA Agreement, it will remain party to it (although proceedings initiated in the Irish High Court which might have resolved this question have been dropped).
The Brexit negotiations appear to be proceeding on the basis that the UK will not be able to remain in the EEA. The lack of clarity on this point is unfortunate because, if the UK could be certain about remaining within the EEA, the dynamics of the negotiation with the EU could change quite substantially; instead of facing a substantial "cliff-edge" risk under Article 50 (with its 2 year negotiating deadline), the UK would at the very least be able to use the EEA Agreement as a "fallback position", allowing it more time to negotiate the best possible longer term deal with the EU.
Some commentators consider that unless the UK gives notice to leave the EEA Agreement, it can remain a party to it (but that adjustments would obviously have to be made to reflect the fact that the UK was no longer an EU member state) – see Q15. However, most commentators take the view that on exiting the EU, the UK will also leave the EEA and would therefore need to reapply to join the EEA Agreement. If this is correct, the UK would face a number of obstacles, which are explained in more detail below. Given sufficient time, these obstacles may well be capable of being overcome, but it is probably unrealistic to expect them to be resolved by the time the UK is due to leave the EU in 2019. In the short term, a possible solution for the UK would be to seek a "mirror" or "parallel" EEA Agreement – that is, a deal with the EU on the same terms as the EEA Agreement, but which would be legally separate from it. The UK would then remain in that relationship until it had managed to resolve any outstanding issues with becoming an EEA-EFTA State – see Q17.
The problems with the UK becoming a fully-fledged EEA-EFTA State in the short term are as follows:
The idea of a "mirror" or "parallel" EEA Agreement is intended primarily to overcome the problems outlined at Q16 above, which could make it difficult for the UK to effect a quick and seamless transition from EU membership to being an EEA-EFTA State. Instead of re-joining the EEA Agreement on Brexit, the UK would enter into a legally separate agreement with the EU on the same terms as the EEA Agreement. As such, the agreement would give the UK continued membership of the Single Market, whilst avoiding the timing and political obstacles of becoming a fully-fledged EEA-EFTA State (see Q16). Such an arrangement would also enable the UK to circumvent the "slow implementation" problem described at Q11.
For this solution to work effectively, the UK would probably need to "borrow" the institutions of the EEA Agreement – for example, the other EEA-EFTA States would need to agree that the EFTA Surveillance Authority would have responsibility for monitoring the UK's compliance and that questions from UK courts on the interpretation of relevant law would be referred to the EFTA Court. Although this might appear a somewhat cumbersome arrangement, the EU has already made a similar proposal for Switzerland to "dock" with the institutions of the EEA Agreement as a way of supervising its complex network of bilateral arrangements with the EU (see this paper at page 5 under the heading "Docking to the EEA/EFTA Institutions").
There could of course be political objections from the EEA-EFTA States. However, since decisions of the EEA-EFTA institutions concerning the UK would only relate to the UK's "mirror" or "parallel" EEA agreement, they would not directly affect the existing EEA-EFTA States. Similarly, whilst it could be argued that the UK's use of the EEA-EFTA institutions would impose additional burdens on staff and resources, such concerns could be met by the UK agreeing to pay for the costs of its use of the relevant institutions and to fund any additional resources required.